Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.