Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.