La Liga Gameweek 32
Rayo Vallecano
Apr 26, 2026 1.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad
  • Sergio Camello 30' goal
  • Alexandre Zurawski 64' yellowcard
  • Jorge de Frutos 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Díaz 64' yellowcard
  • Gerard Gumbau 68' yellowcard
  • Fran Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Florian Lejeune 84' goal
  • Alexandre Zurawski 90'+9' goal
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 22'
  • yellowcard Pablo Marín 56'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 56'
  • goal Orri Óskarsson 63'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorrotxategi 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Oyarzabal 76'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 90'+1'

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 7.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Espanyol
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 7.00pm
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Getafe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Goncalo Guedes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 44.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 27.13%
Real Sociedad 28.43% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.53% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 31.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 77.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.25% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 37.21%
Draw 43.31%
Real Sociedad 19.47%

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 57.84% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 9.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Real Sociedad 32.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.13%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 24.77%
Over 9 52.18%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 35.87%
Over 10.5 40.48%
Under 10.5 59.52%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 84% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 61.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 8.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.09%
Under 3.5 97.91%

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 44.43%
Draw 27.12%
Real Sociedad 28.44%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 44.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.12%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 28.44%

Head to Head

La Liga
Real Sociedad
Oct 5, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
La Liga Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad
  • Sergi Guardiola 40' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 58' goal
  • Pedro Diaz 72' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 74' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 11'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 20'
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 60'
  • goal Arkaitz Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta 80'
Copa del Rey
Real Sociedad
Jan 16, 2025 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Reale Arena
Rayo Vallecano
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 24' goal
  • Martin Zubimendi 43' yellowcard
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti 45'+1' goal
  • Sergio Gomez 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 17'
  • goal Oscar Trejo 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 59'
  • redcard Alfonso Espino 77'
  • yellowcard Isi 81'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Real Sociedad
Aug 18, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
Rayo Vallecano
  • Urko Gonzalez de Zarate 27' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Martin Zubimendi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 32'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 53'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 56'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 57'
  • goal Jorge de Frutos 67'
  • goal Sergio Camello 84'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Real Sociedad
Jan 27, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
Rayo Vallecano
  • Javi Galan 70' yellowcard
  • Jon Pacheco 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 7'
  • yellowcard Francisco 8'
  • yellowcard Ivan Balliu 18'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 57'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 85'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 29, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad
  • Florian Lejeune 13' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 31' goal
  • Alvaro Garcia 65' yellowcard
  • Bebe 90'+1' goal
  • Bebe 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 41'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 66'
  • yellowcard Benat Turrientes 72'
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 74'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Espanyol
AEK Athens 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 AEK Athens
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Elche
Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Getafe
Atletico 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Alaves
Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Levante
Villarreal 3 - 1 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Osasuna