Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.79% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.