La Liga
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Antonio Blanco 8' goal
  • Ander Guevara 62' yellowcard
  • Jon Guridi 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 68' goal
  • Carles Aleñá 73' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Navarro 46'
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 46'
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 46'
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 46'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 73'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 74'
  • goal Nico Williams 83'
  • goal Nico Williams 87'
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro 89'
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro 90'

Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 1.00pm
Alaves 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Toni Martinez

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%).

Result

Alaves 36.62% (+0.18)
Draw 28.62% (-0.06)
Athletic Bilbao 34.75% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 29.79% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 44.44% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 55.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.07%
Under 3.5 76.93%
Over 4.5 11.58% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.42% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Alaves 28.69% (+0.02)
Draw 46.62%
Athletic Bilbao 24.69% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Alaves 46.22% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.98% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 44.8%

Corners

Over 8 59.78% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.7% (+0.03)
Under 8 28.52% (-0.02)
Over 9 47.64% (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.22% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 36.15% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 63.85% (+0.08)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 34.14% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.86% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.19% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.81% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.54% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.46% (-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 32.43% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 32.98% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 67.02% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 11.99% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.01% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.44% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.56% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Alaves 36.61%
Draw 28.63%
Athletic Bilbao 34.74%
Alaves
1-0 @ 10.92% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.2% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.34% (+0.03)
Total : 36.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 28.63%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.24% (-0.03)
Total : 34.74%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 11, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alvaro Djalo 33' yellowcard
  • Manu Sanchez 71' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Antonio Blanco 54' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 67' goal
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 69' yellowcard
  • goal Unai Gomez 10'
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro Boiro 20'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 75'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 32' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 37' goal
  • Nico Williams 54' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 80'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 86'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 90'+2'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Asier Villalibre 28' goal
  • Asier Villalibre 60' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 71'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'