La Liga Gameweek 34
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 1.00pm
Alaves 2 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Toni Martinez

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alaves win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 34.85% and a draw has a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.26%).

Result

Alaves 36.52% (-0.04)
Draw 28.62% (-0.04)
Athletic Bilbao 34.85% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 29.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.47% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 55.53% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 23.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.93% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.42% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Alaves 28.69%
Draw 46.62%
Athletic Bilbao 24.69%

Team To Score First

Alaves 46.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.97% (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 44.8% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.78%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 28.52%
Over 9 47.64%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 40.22%
Over 10.5 36.15%
Under 10.5 63.85%

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 34.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.16%
Under 2.5 87.84%
Over 3.5 3.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.48% (+0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 67.66% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.34% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 66.93% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.96% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.54% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Alaves 36.52%
Draw 28.62%
Athletic Bilbao 34.85%
Alaves
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 28.62%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.26% (+0.02)
Total : 34.85%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 11, 2025 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alvaro Djalo 33' yellowcard
  • Manu Sanchez 71' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Antonio Blanco 54' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 67' goal
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 69' yellowcard
  • goal Unai Gomez 10'
  • yellowcard Adama Boiro Boiro 20'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 75'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 32' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 37' goal
  • Nico Williams 54' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 80'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 86'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 90'+2'
Copa del Rey
Jan 16, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Asier Villalibre 28' goal
  • Asier Villalibre 60' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Benavidez 71'
  • yellowcard Rafa Marin 90'