Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%).