La Liga Gameweek 33
Real Madrid
Apr 21, 2026 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Alaves
  • Kylian Mbappé 30' goal
  • Antonio Rüdiger  45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rüdiger  45'+3' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 50' goal
  • 58' yellowcard
  • Brahim Díaz 58' yellowcard
  • Franco Mastantuono 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Carvajal  63' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibáñez 58'
  • yellowcard Carles Aleñá 58'
  • yellowcard Calebe 66'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Diabaté 66'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Diabaté 67'
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 75'
  • goal Toni Martínez 90'+3'

Real Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Girona
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 1.00pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Alaves
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Toni Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.85% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Alaves win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 65.53%
Draw 19.85%
Alaves 14.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.07%
Under 2.5 42.93%
Over 3.5 35.17%
Under 3.5 64.83%
Over 4.5 23.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.78% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 46.1%
Draw 36.7%
Alaves 17.2%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 62.37%
No Goal 6.01%
Alaves 31.62%

Corners

Over 8 67.54%
Equal 8 10.4%
Under 8 22.06%
Over 9 56.05%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 32.46%
Over 10.5 44.45%
Under 10.5 55.55%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 60.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 34%
Under 2.5 66%
Over 3.5 15.23%
Under 3.5 84.77%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 47.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 52.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 20.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.05%
Under 3.5 97.95%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 65.52%
Draw 19.86%
Alaves 14.56%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 14.98%
Total : 65.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.11%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.86%
Alaves
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.51%
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.56%

Head to Head

La Liga
Alaves
Dec 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Victor Parada Gonzalez 6' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 68' goal
  • Abde Rebbach 87' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ander Guevara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 24'
  • goal Rodrygo 76'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 80'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Alaves
Apr 13, 2025 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Joan Jordan 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos Martin 55' yellowcard
  • Manu Sanchez 70' redcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 77' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Raul Asencio del Rosario 19'
  • goal Eduardo Camavinga 34'
  • redcard Kylian Mbappe 38'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 88'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
Sep 24, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Lucas Vazquez 1' goal
  • Federico Valverde 4' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 30' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 40' goal
  • Rodrygo 48' goal
  • Endrick 83' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Benavidez 85'
  • goal Kike 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Jude Bellingham 10' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 27' goal
  • Federico Valverde 45'+1' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 70' goal
  • Arda Guler 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 50'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Alaves
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Ruben Duarte 45' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 83' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 39'
  • redcard Nacho 54'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 84'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
Feb 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luka Modric 33' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 63' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Karim Benzema 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 48'

Form Data

Bayern 4 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Girona
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Bayern
Mallorca 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Atletico
Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Sociedad 3 - 3 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna
Celta Vigo 3 - 4 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
Valencia 3 - 2 Alaves
Levante 2 - 0 Alaves

Build-up

Head to head