La Liga
Gameweek
33
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Real Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw has a probability of 19.84% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Alaves win it is 1-2 (3.97%).
Result
Real Madrid
65.54%
▼
(-1.26)
Draw
19.84%
▼
(-0.04)
Alaves
14.58%
▲
(+1.28)
Both Teams to Score:
50.72%
▲
(+3.68)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.3%
▲
(+0.99)
Under 1.5
21.7%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 2.5
57.1%
▲
(+1.76)
Under 2.5
42.9%
▼
(-1.76)
Over 3.5
35.17%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 3.5
64.83%
▼
(-1.44)
Over 4.5
23.25%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 4.5
76.75%
▼
(-1.07)
First Half Winner
Real Madrid
46.14%
▼
(-0.65)
Draw
36.67%
▲
(+1.15)
Alaves
17.18%
▼
(-0.52)
Team To Score First
Real Madrid
62.41%
▼
(-2.75)
No Goal
6%
▼
(-0.33)
Alaves
31.59%
▲
(+3.07)
Corners
Over 8
67.55%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 8
10.4%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 8
22.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 9
56.05%
▼
(-0.41)
Equal 9
11.5%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 9
32.45%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 10.5
44.46%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 10.5
55.54%
▲
(+0.58)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
60.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
39.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
34.03%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
65.97%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
15.26%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
84.74%
▼
(-0.11)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5
47.11%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 0.5
52.89%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 1.5
20.13%
▲
(+1.93)
Under 1.5
79.87%
▼
(-1.93)
Over 2.5
6.98%
▲
(+1.31)
Under 2.5
93.02%
▼
(-1.30)
Over 3.5
2.05%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 3.5
97.95%
▼
(-0.49)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
65.55%
Draw
19.85%
Alaves
14.56%
Real Madrid
1-0
@
12.13%
▼
(-0.59)
2-0 @ 11.58% ▼ (-0.67)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 15.01%
Total : 65.55%
2-0 @ 11.58% ▼ (-0.67)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 15.01%
Total : 65.55%
Draw
1-1
@
8.11%
▼
(-0.14)
0-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 19.85%
0-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 19.85%
Alaves
1-2
@
3.97%
▲
(+0.31)
0-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.40)
Total : 14.56%
0-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.40)
Total : 14.56%
Head to Head
La Liga
-
Victor Parada Gonzalez
6'
-
Carlos Vicente
68'
-
Abde Rebbach
87'
-
Abde Rebbach
90'+1'
-
Ander Guevara
90'+3'
-
Kylian Mbappe
24'
-
Rodrygo
76'
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
La Liga
Gameweek
31
-
Joan Jordan
42'
-
Carlos Martin
55'
-
Manu Sanchez
70'
-
Nahuel Tenaglia
77'
-
Santiago Mourino
90'+8'
-
Raul Asencio del Rosario
19'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
34'
-
Kylian Mbappe
38'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
80'
-
Lucas Vazquez
88'
-
Vinicius Junior
90'+5'
-
Thibaut Courtois
90'+7'
La Liga
Gameweek
7
-
Lucas Vazquez
1'
-
Federico Valverde
4'
-
Vinicius Junior
30'
-
Kylian Mbappe
40'
-
Rodrygo
48'
-
Endrick
83'
-
Luka Modric
90'+6'
-
Carlos Benavidez
85'
-
Kike
86'
La Liga
Gameweek
36
-
Jude Bellingham
10'
-
Vinicius Junior
27'
-
Federico Valverde
45'+1'
-
Vinicius Junior
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
70'
-
Arda Guler
81'
-
Ruben Duarte
50'
La Liga
Gameweek
18
-
Ruben Duarte
45'
-
Javi Lopez
83'
-
Nahuel Tenaglia
90'
-
Carlo Ancelotti
39'
-
Nacho
54'
-
Jude Bellingham
84'
-
Lucas Vazquez
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
25
-
Luka Modric
33'
-
Marco Asensio
63'
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Karim Benzema
90'+1'
-
Mamadou N'Diaye
48'