Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.41% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.