La Liga Gameweek 36
May 14, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
Getafe 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Valencia win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 34.78% and a draw has a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Valencia 39.96% (-0.29)
Draw 25.26% (-0.17)
Rayo Vallecano 34.78% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.71% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.87% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 22.13% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 55.4% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 44.6% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 32.57% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 67.43% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 18.41% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 81.59% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Valencia 29.32% (-0.04)
Draw 46.03% (-0.05)
Rayo Vallecano 24.65% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Valencia 53.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.08% (-0.13)
Rayo Vallecano 40.13% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.25% (+0.41)
Equal 8 11.69% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.06% (-0.41)
Over 9 49.84% (+0.39)
Equal 9 12.41% (+0.03)
Under 9 37.75% (-0.41)
Over 10.5 37.89% (+0.32)
Under 10.5 62.11% (-0.32)

Valencia Goals

Over 1.5 41.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.19% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 18.31% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.17%
Under 3.5 93.83%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 70.29% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 29.71% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 38.25% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 61.75% (-0.48)
Over 2.5 15.52% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 84.48% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Valencia 39.96%
Draw 25.26%
Rayo Vallecano 34.77%
Valencia
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.93%
Total : 39.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 6.05% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.26%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.95% (+0.16)
Total : 34.77%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nobel Mendy 37' goal
  • Alexandre Alemao 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Lopez 64'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 71'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Pathe Ciss 28' yellowcard
  • Cesar Tarrega 45' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 49' yellowcard
  • Pep Chavarria 82' yellowcard
  • goal Umar Sadiq 75'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 52' yellowcard
  • Yarek Gasiorowski 72' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 7'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 52'
  • yellowcard Isi 71'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Thierry Correia 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 32'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Kike Perez 70' yellowcard
  • Randy Nteka 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 34'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vazquez 50'
  • goal Sergi Canos 61'
  • yellowcard Selim Amallah 75'
  • yellowcard Fran Perez 81'
  • redcard Thierry Correia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mouctar Diakhaby 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
  • Justin Kluivert 82' goal
  • goal Santi Comesana 9'