Conference League
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Strasbourg

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Strasbourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Strasbourg win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 31.89% and a draw has a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).

Result

Strasbourg 44.22% (+0.58)
Draw 23.89% (-0.38)
Rayo Vallecano 31.89% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.31% (+0.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.31% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 20.69% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 56.98% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 43.02% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 33.94% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 66.06% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 19.83% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 80.17% (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Strasbourg 34.69% (-1.42)
Draw 39.52% (-0.60)
Rayo Vallecano 25.79% (+2.01)

Team To Score First

Strasbourg 52.88% (-1.85)
No Goal 5.2% (-0.21)
Rayo Vallecano 41.92% (+2.07)

Corners

Over 8 57.81% (-0.99)
Equal 8 11.09% (-0.03)
Under 8 31.1% (+1.04)
Over 9 46.51% (-0.88)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.12)
Under 9 42.19% (+0.99)
Over 10.5 35.91% (-0.70)
Under 10.5 64.09% (+0.70)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 1.5 45.84% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.16% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.2% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 78.8% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 7.99% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 92.01% (+0.20)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 67.74% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 32.26% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 35.71% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 64.29% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 14.43% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 85.57% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 4.63% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 95.37% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Strasbourg 44.22%
Draw 23.9%
Rayo Vallecano 31.89%
Strasbourg
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.65% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 6.75% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.25)
Other @ 7.88%
Total : 44.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.97% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.19)
Total : 23.9%
Rayo Vallecano
1-2 @ 7.77% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.52% (-0.36)
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Alexandre Zurawski 54' goal
  • Pedro Díaz 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 88' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 88' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 89' yellowcard
  • Gerard Gumbau 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 67'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 84'
  • yellowcard Maxi Oyedele 90'+5'