Ligue 1
Strasbourg
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
Toulouse
  • Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 27' goal
  • Samir El Mourabet 46' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreira 63' yellowcard
  • Andrew Omobamidele 71' yellowcard
  • Julio Enciso 72' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Emegha 82' yellowcard
  • goal Dayann Methalie 43'
  • yellowcard Emersonn 62'
  • yellowcard Emersonn 63'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 77'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibé 78'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 78'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Azizi 82'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 82'
  • goal Emersonn 84'

Strasbourg vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Martial Godo

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.05pm
Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Strasbourg 52.24% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 22.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Toulouse 25.06% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.59% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 18.41% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 60.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 39.56% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 37.41% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 62.59% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 22.9% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 4.5 77.1% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Strasbourg 40.93%
Draw 38.4%
Toulouse 20.66%

Team To Score First

Strasbourg 59.83% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Toulouse 35.45% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.65%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 28.78%
Over 9 47.67%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 40.35%
Over 10.5 36.34%
Under 10.5 63.66%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 1.5 54.12% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 45.88% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 2.5 27.92% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 72.08% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 11.72% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 88.28% ▼ (-0.24)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 62.97% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 37.03% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.38% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Strasbourg 52.23%
Draw 22.7%
Toulouse 25.06%
Strasbourg
2-1 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.43% ▲ (+0.24)
Total : 52.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.7%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.06%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Toulouse
Dec 6, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Strasbourg
  • Emersonn Correia da Silva 18' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 28' yellowcard
  • Frank Magri 44' yellowcard
  • Rafik Messali 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 82'
  • yellowcard Samir El Mourabet 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Strasbourg
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
Toulouse
  • Felix Lemarechal 47' goal
  • Andrey Santos 54' goal
  • goal Frank Magri 3'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 25'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Toulouse
Jan 12, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Strasbourg
  • Umit Akdag 7' yellowcard
  • Ismael Doukoure 35' goal
  • Umit Akdag 79' yellowcard
  • goal Emanuel Emegha 14'
  • goal Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sarr 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 74'
  • yellowcard Dilane Bakwa 77'
  • yellowcard Eduard Sobol 80'
  • yellowcard Eduard Sobol 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Toulouse
Apr 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Strasbourg
  • Thijs Dallinga 16' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 87' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Strasbourg
Aug 27, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
Toulouse
  • Jessy Deminguet 43' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Emegha 52' goal
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 89' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 54'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 68'
  • yellowcard Fares Chaibi 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Strasbourg
Jan 29, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Toulouse
  • Kevin Gameiro 20' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 25'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 51'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Strasbourg
Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Strasbourg 0 - 2 Nice
Strasbourg 0 - 3 Rennes
Strasbourg 4 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Strasbourg
Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco
Lens 4 - 1 Toulouse
Lens 3 - 2 Toulouse
Toulouse 0 - 4 Lille
PSG 3 - 1 Toulouse
Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient