Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Martial Godo

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.05pm
Toulouse 2 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Strasbourg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 25.32% and a draw has a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-2 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.3%).

Result

Strasbourg 51.87% (-0.21)
Draw 22.84% (-0.09)
Toulouse 25.32% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.42% (+0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.43% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 18.57% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 60.2% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 39.8% (-0.70)
Over 3.5 37.14% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 62.86% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 22.65% (+0.54)
Under 4.5 77.35% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Strasbourg 40.93% (+0.07)
Draw 38.4% (-0.07)
Toulouse 20.66% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Strasbourg 59.79% (+0.16)
No Goal 4.79% (-0.14)
Toulouse 35.42% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.65% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 28.78% (-0.33)
Over 9 47.67% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.35% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 36.34% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 63.66% (-0.25)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 1.5 53.73% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 46.27% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 27.54% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 72.46% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 11.48% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 88.52% (-0.14)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 63.19% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 36.81% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 31.39% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 68.61% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 11.71% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 88.29% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 3.64% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 96.36% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Strasbourg 51.86%
Draw 22.83%
Toulouse 25.31%
Strasbourg
2-1 @ 10.12% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.75% (+0.09)
Other @ 11.19% (+0.12)
Total : 51.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.01)
Total : 22.83%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.35% (+0.21)
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 6, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emersonn Correia da Silva 18' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 28' yellowcard
  • Frank Magri 44' yellowcard
  • Rafik Messali 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 82'
  • yellowcard Samir El Mourabet 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Felix Lemarechal 47' goal
  • Andrey Santos 54' goal
  • goal Frank Magri 3'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 25'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Umit Akdag 7' yellowcard
  • Ismael Doukoure 35' goal
  • Umit Akdag 79' yellowcard
  • goal Emanuel Emegha 14'
  • goal Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sarr 42'
  • yellowcard Andrey Santos 74'
  • yellowcard Dilane Bakwa 77'
  • yellowcard Eduard Sobol 80'
  • yellowcard Eduard Sobol 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Thijs Dallinga 16' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 87' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Jessy Deminguet 43' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Emegha 52' goal
  • Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 89' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 54'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 68'
  • yellowcard Fares Chaibi 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Gameiro 20' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 25'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 51'