Ligue 1
Apr 25, 2026 8.05pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 61' goal
  • Emersonn 74' yellowcard
  • Mario Sauer 79' yellowcard
  • Ilyas Azizi 79' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 90' goal
  • Julián Vignolo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal J. Teze 6'
  • goal Lamine Camara 18'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Golovin 61'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 75'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 84'
  • yellowcard Paul Pogba 84'

Toulouse vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
Lens 3 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
Monaco 2 - 2 Auxerre
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Folarin Balogun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 32.13% (+0.04)
Draw 25.87% (+0.02)
Monaco 41.97% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.62% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.38% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.12% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.88% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.53% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.47% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.56% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.44% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 30.19% (-0.05)
Draw 41.87% (-0.09)
Monaco 27.94% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 48.29% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.01)
Monaco 44.87% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.75% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.47% (+0.02)
Over 9 44.84%
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.01)
Under 9 43.25% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.82% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.18% (-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 33.88% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 13.41% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.59% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.02)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.1% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 41.8% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 58.2% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 18.1% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.9% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 6.38% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.62% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Toulouse 32.12%
Draw 25.86%
Monaco 41.97%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 7.97% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 32.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 25.86%
Monaco
0-1 @ 9.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 6.77% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.12% (-0.04)
Total : 41.97%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 25, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Frank Magri 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 1'
  • goal Takumi Minamino 17'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 74'
  • yellowcard Maghnes Akliouche 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 50' goal
  • Breel Embolo 69' yellowcard
  • Breel Embolo 82' goal
  • Jordan Teze 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 37'
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Denis Zakaria 27' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 48' goal
  • goal Vincent Sierro 41'
  • yellowcard Christian Mawissa 65'
  • goal Logan Costa 70'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 82'
  • yellowcard Guillaume Restes 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 5' goal
  • Logan Costa 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Aron Donnum 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohammed Salisu 3'
  • yellowcard Adi Hutter 4'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 26'
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 44'
  • redcard Aleksandr Golovin 51'
  • yellowcard Edan Diop 57'
  • yellowcard Soungoutou Magassa 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wissam Ben Yedder 78' goal
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 70'
  • goal Rhys Healey 90'+4'