Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.39% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%) , while for a Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.