Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.