Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.