Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%) , while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.