Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.