Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.