Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.