Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.14% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.