Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.