Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.72% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Osasuna win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.