Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.46% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.