Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 73.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.85% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.