La Liga Gameweek 36
May 12, 2026 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Kike Barja 37' yellowcard
  • Abel Bretones 60' yellowcard
  • Raúl García 60' yellowcard
  • Aimar Oroz 72' yellowcard
  • Asier Osambela 72' yellowcard
  • Kike Barja 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 15'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 18'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 46'
  • goal Alexander Sørloth 71'
  • yellowcard Clément Lenglet  82'

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
Levante 3 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Atletico 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Osasuna 39.24% (+0.22)
Draw 26.13% (-0.11)
Atletico Madrid 34.63% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.05% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 23.95% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 52.66% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 47.34% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 29.76% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 70.25% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 16.43% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 83.57% (-0.56)

First Half Winner

Osasuna 30.9% (+0.37)
Draw 43.11% (-0.29)
Atletico Madrid 26% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Osasuna 49.03% (+0.29)
No Goal 6.63% (-0.18)
Atletico Madrid 44.34% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 57.87%
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.02)
Under 8 30.34% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.84% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.13%
Over 10.5 34.62% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.38% (+0.04)

Osasuna Goals

Over 1.5 40.24% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 59.76% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 16.89% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 83.11% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.66% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 94.34% (-0.27)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.96% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 30.04% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 36.06% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 63.94% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 14.35% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 85.65% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.42% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.58% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Osasuna 39.25%
Draw 26.13%
Atletico Madrid 34.64%
Osasuna
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.08)
Other @ 5.51% (+0.25)
Total : 39.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.03)
Total : 26.13%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.41% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.06)
Total : 34.64%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Alejandro Catena 25' goal
  • Pablo Ibanez 40' yellowcard
  • Ante Budimir 82' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 25'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 12, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Giuliano Simeone 34' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 53' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 55' goal
  • Diego Simeone 88' yellowcard
  • Vicente Moreno 90'+2' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Gabriel Paulista 35' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 55' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 56' yellowcard
  • goal Raul Garcia 26'
  • goal Aimar Oroz 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 59'
  • goal Raul Garcia 64'
  • goal Lucas Torro 88'
  • yellowcard Iker Munoz 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
  • Alejandro Catena 54' yellowcard
  • Aimar Oroz 76' yellowcard
  • Jagoba Arrasate 78' redcard
  • Ezequiel Avila 85' redcard
  • Aitor Fernandez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 20'
  • goal Rodrigo Riquelme 81'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 84'
  • redcard Alvaro Morata 85'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Yannick Carrasco 44' goal
  • Saul Niguez 62' goal
  • Angel Correa 82' goal