La Liga Gameweek 36
May 12, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
Levante 3 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Atletico 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 34.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Osasuna 38.88% (-0.44)
Draw 26.21% (-0.20)
Atletico Madrid 34.88% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.52% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 24.48% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 51.89% (+0.71)
Under 2.5 48.11% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 28.84% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 71.16% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 15.82% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 84.18% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Osasuna 30.59%
Draw 43.28%
Atletico Madrid 26.13%

Team To Score First

Osasuna 48.19% (+0.13)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.26)
Atletico Madrid 45.01% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 57.44%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 30.76%
Over 9 45.43%
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 42.56%
Over 10.5 34.26%
Under 10.5 65.74%

Osasuna Goals

Over 1.5 39.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.21% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.34%
Under 3.5 94.66%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% (+0.68)
Under 0.5 30.1% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 35.88% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 64.12% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 14.08% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 85.92% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Osasuna 38.88%
Draw 26.21%
Atletico Madrid 34.88%
Osasuna
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.22% (-0.02)
Total : 38.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 26.21%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.29% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.4% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.24% (+0.24)
Total : 34.88%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Alejandro Catena 25' goal
  • Pablo Ibanez 40' yellowcard
  • Ante Budimir 82' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 25'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 12, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Giuliano Simeone 34' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 53' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 55' goal
  • Diego Simeone 88' yellowcard
  • Vicente Moreno 90'+2' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Gabriel Paulista 35' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 55' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 56' yellowcard
  • goal Raul Garcia 26'
  • goal Aimar Oroz 52'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 59'
  • goal Raul Garcia 64'
  • goal Lucas Torro 88'
  • yellowcard Iker Munoz 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
  • Alejandro Catena 54' yellowcard
  • Aimar Oroz 76' yellowcard
  • Jagoba Arrasate 78' redcard
  • Ezequiel Avila 85' redcard
  • Aitor Fernandez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 20'
  • goal Rodrigo Riquelme 81'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 84'
  • redcard Alvaro Morata 85'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Yannick Carrasco 44' goal
  • Saul Niguez 62' goal
  • Angel Correa 82' goal