Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.22% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.