La Liga
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Robin Le Normand 20' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 60' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 60' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 61' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 61' yellowcard
  • Obed Vargas 69' yellowcard
  • Miguel Cubo 69' yellowcard
  • Miguel Cubo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Iglesias 62'
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutglà 68'
  • yellowcard Sergio Carreira 68'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 68'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 77'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ristic 89'

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.22% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Madrid 58.61% (-0.04)
Draw 23.22%
Celta Vigo 18.14% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.73% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.27% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.05% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.95% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.78% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.22% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.26% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.74% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 40.92%
Draw 40.67%
Celta Vigo 18.42%

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 58.05%
No Goal 7.7%
Celta Vigo 34.25%

Corners

Over 8 51.93%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 35.97%
Over 9 40.15%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 48.07%
Over 10.5 29.64%
Under 10.5 70.36%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 52.37% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.63% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 25.88%
Under 2.5 74.12%
Over 3.5 10.25% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.75% (-0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 52.14% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.86% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.71% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.29% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.61%
Draw 23.22%
Celta Vigo 18.14%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 10.19% (+0.01)
Total : 58.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.22%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.56%
1-2 @ 4.63%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Total : 18.14%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Pablo Barrios 7' redcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 65' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 67' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 81' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Dominguez 31'
  • yellowcard Pablo Duran Fernandez 47'
  • goal Iago Aspas 68'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 72'
  • yellowcard Iker Losada 80'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Carl Starfelt 33' yellowcard
  • Javier Rodriguez Galiano 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 76'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 90'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Axel Witsel 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 84' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 36'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Ivan Villar 25' redcard
  • Oscar Mingueza 30' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 51' yellowcard
  • Miguel Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 29'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 54'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 64'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Riquelme 87'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • goal Memphis Depay 89'