La Liga Gameweek 35
May 9, 2026 5.30pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw has a probability of 23.32% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 19.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 57.37% (+0.06)
Draw 23.32% (+0.25)
Celta Vigo 19.24% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.57% (-0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.94% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 25.06% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 51.38% (-1.06)
Under 2.5 48.62% (+1.06)
Over 3.5 29.74% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 70.26% (+1.13)
Over 4.5 17.67% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 82.33% (+0.77)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 40.92% (-0.18)
Draw 40.67% (+0.40)
Celta Vigo 18.42% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 58.41% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.13% (+0.27)
Celta Vigo 34.46% (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 51.93% (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.1% (-0.09)
Under 8 35.97% (+0.29)
Over 9 40.15% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.09)
Under 9 48.07% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 29.64% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 70.36% (+0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 52.42% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 47.58% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 25.94% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 74.06% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 10.28% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 89.72% (+0.35)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 54.52% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 45.48% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 22.11% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 77.89% (+0.69)
Over 2.5 6.78% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 93.22% (+0.54)
Over 3.5 1.74% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 98.26% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.37%
Draw 23.32%
Celta Vigo 19.24%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.11% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 10.16% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 10.13% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.06)
Other @ 10.22% (-0.32)
Total : 57.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 7.13% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.03)
Total : 23.32%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.75% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.13)
Other @ 1.68% (-0.17)
Total : 19.24%

Head to Head

La Liga
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Pablo Barrios 7' redcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 65' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 67' yellowcard
  • Robin Le Normand 67' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 81' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Dominguez 31'
  • yellowcard Pablo Duran Fernandez 47'
  • goal Iago Aspas 68'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 72'
  • yellowcard Iker Losada 80'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Carl Starfelt 33' yellowcard
  • Javier Rodriguez Galiano 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 38'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 76'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 90'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Axel Witsel 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 84' goal
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 36'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Ivan Villar 25' redcard
  • Oscar Mingueza 30' yellowcard
  • Carl Starfelt 51' yellowcard
  • Miguel Rodriguez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 29'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 54'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 64'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 70'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Riquelme 87'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • goal Memphis Depay 89'