Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.66% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.28%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.