La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 3 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 35.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win is 1-0 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.56%).

Result

Real Oviedo 35.33%
Draw 27.01%
Villarreal 37.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.84%
Under 1.5 27.16%
Over 2.5 48.11%
Under 2.5 51.89%
Over 3.5 26.55%
Under 3.5 73.45%
Over 4.5 14.34%
Under 4.5 85.66%

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 25.46%
Draw 44.47%
Villarreal 30.07%

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 40.05%
No Goal 7.94%
Villarreal 52.01%

Corners

Over 8 55.91%
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 32.09%
Over 9 43.86%
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 44.09%
Over 10.5 32.8%
Under 10.5 67.2%

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 34.66%
Under 1.5 65.34%
Over 2.5 13.33%
Under 2.5 86.67%
Over 3.5 4.27%
Under 3.5 95.73%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 70.18%
Under 0.5 29.82%
Over 1.5 36.69%
Under 1.5 63.31%
Over 2.5 14.16%
Under 2.5 85.84%
Over 3.5 4.52%
Under 3.5 95.48%

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 35.32%
Draw 27.02%
Villarreal 37.63%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 35.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.02%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.69%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 37.63%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2025 8.00pm