La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2026 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Ilyas Chaira 69' goal
  • Haissem Hassan 71' yellowcard
  • Ovie Ejaria 71' yellowcard
  • Santi Cazorla 72' yellowcard
  • Rahim Alhassane 90' yellowcard
  • Pablo Agudín 90' yellowcard
  • Pablo Agudín 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rahim Alhassane 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 11'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 12'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pépé 13'
  • yellowcard Georges Mikautadze 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moleiro 63'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Pérez 63'
  • yellowcard Alex Freeman 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 78'

Real Oviedo vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 3 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Real Oviedo 35.38% (-0.05)
Draw 27.09% (+0.02)
Villarreal 37.54% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.76% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.24% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 47.98% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.02% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.38% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.62% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 14.19% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.81% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Real Oviedo 25.46% (+0.02)
Draw 44.44% (-0.04)
Villarreal 30.11% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Real Oviedo 40.04%
No Goal 7.99% (+0.03)
Villarreal 51.97% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.97% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.01% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.02% (-0.10)
Over 9 43.9% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.06% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.03% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 32.83% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 67.18% (-0.04)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 1.5 34.63% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.37% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.29% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.71% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.06)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 70.1%
Under 0.5 29.9%
Over 1.5 36.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.46% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Oviedo 35.38%
Draw 27.09%
Villarreal 37.53%
Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 9.55% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.13% (-0.05)
Total : 35.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 27.09%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 4.34% (-0.01)
Total : 37.53%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2025 8.00pm