Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.