Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.