Club Friendlies 1
Aug 7, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kai Tak Sports Park
  • Maycon Cardozo  25' yellowcard
  • Min-jae Kim 36' goal
  • Luis Díaz 73' goal
  • Sacha Boey 78' yellowcard
  • goal João Gomes 82'

Bayern Munich vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 4, 2026 12.00pm
Jeju Utd 1 - 2 Bayern

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.1% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (5.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Bayern Munich 61.2% (+0.31)
Draw 18.7%
Aston Villa 20.1% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.5% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.02% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 10.98% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 72.7% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 27.3% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 52.1% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 47.9% (+0.70)
Over 4.5 36.3% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 63.7% (+0.67)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 67.28% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 32.72% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 42.49% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 57.51% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 22.44% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 77.56% (+0.30)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 57.97% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 42.03% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 30.89% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 69.11% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 12.63% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 87.37% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 4.42% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.58% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 61.18%
Draw 18.71%
Aston Villa 20.09%
Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 9.12% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.37% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.76% (+0.19)
1-0 @ 5.58% (+0.20)
3-0 @ 5.47% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 4.97% (-0.05)
Other @ 21.91% (-0.29)
Total : 61.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.5% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.29% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.53% (-0.03)
Total : 18.71%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.09% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.89% (-0.19)
Total : 20.09%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Pau Torres 22' goal
  • Jhon Duran 79' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 21'
  • yellowcard Serge Gnabry 66'

Build-up

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