Champions League
May 30, 2026 5.00pm
Puskás Aréna

Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 34.95% and a draw has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.75%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 34.95% (-0.05)
Draw 23.55% (+0.11)
Arsenal 41.5% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.2% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.37% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 18.63% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 59.6% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 40.4% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 37.25% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 62.75% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 22.32% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 77.68% (+0.40)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 39.89% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 60.11% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 17.29% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 82.71% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 6.16% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 93.84% (+0.11)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 24.64% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 45.46% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 54.54% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 21.38% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 78.62% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 8.28% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 91.72% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 34.97%
Draw 23.54%
Arsenal 41.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 6.72% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.99% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.49%
Other @ 5.89% (-0.11)
Total : 34.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.56% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 23.54%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-1 @ 7.36% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 6.01% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.31%
Other @ 8.01% (-0.16)
Total : 41.5%

Head to Head

Champions League
May 7, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nuno Mendes 18' yellowcard
  • Fabian Ruiz 27' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 72' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 26'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 56'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 76'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 86'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 86'
Champions League
Apr 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 10' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 43' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 4'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 44'
  • yellowcard Joao Neves 46'
Champions League
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 20' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 35' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2018 12.35pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT National Stadium
  • Mesut Ozil 13' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 67' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 71' goal
  • Rob Holding 87' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 94' goal
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 51'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 60'
Champions League
Nov 23, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Francois Coquelin 34' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 45' goal
  • Laurent Koscielny 53' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 59' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 18'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 31'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 55'
  • goal Alex Iwobi 77' (OG)
Champions League
Sep 13, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edinson Cavani 1' goal
  • Marco Verratti 8' yellowcard
  • Thiago Motta 92' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 94' redcard
  • yellowcard Francois Coquelin 24'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 77'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • redcard Olivier Giroud 94'

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions
News