Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.