Premier League Gameweek 1
Brighton
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Brighton 0 - 3 Man Utd

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Man City 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 26.35% and a draw has a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 50.28% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 23.41% ▼ (-0.20)
Aston Villa 26.35% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% ▲ (+1.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 1.5 20.37% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 2.5 57.48% ▲ (+1.50)
Under 2.5 42.52% ▼ (-1.50)
Over 3.5 35.07% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 3.5 64.93% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 4.5 21.01% ▲ (+1.07)
Under 4.5 78.99% ▼ (-1.07)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 39.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Aston Villa 22.56%

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 54.37% ▲ (+0.28)
No Goal 5.39% ▼ (-0.36)
Aston Villa 40.24% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 51.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 36.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 39.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 48.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 29.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 50.67% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 49.33% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 2.5 25.47% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 74.53% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 10.08% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 89.92% ▼ (-0.43)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 63.42% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 0.5 36.58% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 31.38% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 1.5 68.62% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 2.5 11.52% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 2.5 88.48% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 3.5 3.8% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 96.2% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 50.29%
Draw 23.41%
Aston Villa 26.35%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.50)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.34)
3-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 9.92% ▲ (+0.42)
Total : 50.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.36)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.41%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 26.35%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Feb 11, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Leon Bailey 60' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 60' yellowcard
  • Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos 74' yellowcard
  • Alysson 74' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 75' yellowcard
  • Victor Lindelof 84' yellowcard
  • Victor Lindelöf 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 86' goal
  • yellowcard James Milner 22'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 61'
  • yellowcard Harry Howell 81'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 81'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 81'
  • yellowcard H. Howell 81'
Premier League
Brighton
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Aston Villa
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 9' goal
  • Pau Torres 29' goal
  • Bart Verbruggen 45'+9' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 83' goal
  • Diego Gomez 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Gomez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 37'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 45'+7'
  • goal Amadou Onana 60'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 75'
  • goal Donyell Malen 78'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Brighton
Apr 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Jack Hinshelwood 20' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Rashford 51'
  • goal Marco Asensio 78'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+2'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+10'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 47' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Adingra 12'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 37'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 72'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Brighton
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Pascal Gross 49' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'

Form Data

Tromso 0 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 0 Bologna
Brighton 3 - 0 Roma
Brighton 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Brighton 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Annecy 0 - 0 Brighton
Borussia M'bach 2 - 1 Aston Villa
PSG 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Bayern 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Pathum Utd 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Real Sociedad
Porto 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions