Premier League Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Spurs 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 33.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Leeds United 41.69% (+0.04)
Draw 25.2% (+0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.14% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.36% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.61%
Under 1.5 22.39%
Over 2.5 54.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 32.18% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.82% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 18.5% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.5% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 34.71% (-0.04)
Draw 41% (+0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 24.29% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 51.87% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.07% (+0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 42.06% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.16%
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 31.11%
Over 9 45.26%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 42.84%
Over 10.5 34.19%
Under 10.5 65.8%

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 42.92%
Under 1.5 57.08%
Over 2.5 18.84%
Under 2.5 81.16%
Over 3.5 7.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.95% (+0.02)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.48%
Under 0.5 31.52%
Over 1.5 35.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.55% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leeds United 41.69%
Draw 25.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion 33.14%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 6.85% (-0.02)
Total : 41.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.07% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 25.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Bamford 40' goal
  • Jack Harrison 78' goal
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 33'
  • goal Solly March 61'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pascal Gross 66' goal
  • Adam Webster 81' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 8'
  • yellowcard Marc Roca 34'
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 37'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 76'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Junior Firpo 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 81' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 84' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+2' goal
  • goal Danny Welbeck 21'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 65'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yves Bissouma 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 5'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 66'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 85'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pascal Gross 14' goal
  • Pascal Gross 76' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 79' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 88'