/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbrilog.png)
-
Wilfried Gnonto
60'
-
Sean Longstaff
60'
-
Lukas Nmecha
60'
-
Joël Piroe
74'
-
Sam Byram
90'+1'
-
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
90'+6'
-
Diego Gómez
65'
-
Georginio Rutter
65'
-
Charalampos Kostoulas
82'
-
Yasin Ayari
82'
-
Solly March
90'+3'
Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F05%2Fminteh-6a0736f9a5f49677156712.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fethan-ampadu-696bba01e1a13468823272.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result
Leeds United
42.78%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
25.24%
▲
(+0.12)
Brighton & Hove Albion
31.99%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
57.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
22.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
54.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
45.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
32.29%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
67.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
18.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
81.44%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Leeds United
35.25%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
40.36%
▼
(-0.68)
Brighton & Hove Albion
24.38%
▲
(+0.33)
Team To Score First
Leeds United
51.82%
▼
(-0.54)
No Goal
5.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion
42.19%
▲
(+0.56)
Corners
Over 8
60.01%
▲
(+2.50)
Equal 8
11.14%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 8
28.86%
▼
(-1.93)
Over 9
48.46%
▲
(+2.86)
Equal 9
11.55%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 9
39.99%
▼
(-2.50)
Over 10.5
37.47%
▲
(+2.95)
Under 10.5
62.54%
▼
(-2.95)
Leeds United Goals
Over 1.5
43.96%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
56.04%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
19.68%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
80.32%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
7.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
92.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5
67.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
32.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
34.96%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
65.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 2.5
13.86%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
86.14%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
4.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
95.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Leeds United
42.77%
Draw
25.23%
Brighton & Hove Albion
31.99%
Leeds United
2-1
@
9.17%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.77%
1-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.77%
Draw
1-1
@
11.89%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.23%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 25.23%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2
@
7.62%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.99%
0-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 31.99%
Head to Head
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
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Head to head
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fmats-wieffer-and-danny-welbeck-6906462eb3069787082976.jpg)