Premier League
Newcastle
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • William Osula 12' goal
  • Dan Burn 24' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 68' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 68' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 68' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Joël Veltman 18'
  • goal Jack Hinshelwood 61'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 80'
  • yellowcard Georginio Rutter 80'
  • yellowcard Maxim De Cuyper 81'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 88'

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 8.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 32.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 24.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.27% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.71% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 30.79%
Draw 38.72%
Brighton & Hove Albion 30.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 48.26% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion 46.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 65.37% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 23.6% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 53.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 34.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 41.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 58.48% ▲ (+0.08)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 36.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 75.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 32.38%
Draw 24.15%
Brighton & Hove Albion 43.41%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 32.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.15%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.41%

Head to Head

Premier League
Brighton
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
Premier League Gameweek 35
Brighton
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
Newcastle
  • Yankuba Minteh 28' goal
  • Mats Wieffer 32' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 72'
  • goal Alexander Isak 89'
FA Cup
Newcastle
Mar 2, 2025 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Alexander Isak 22' goal
  • Joelinton 36' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 29'
  • yellowcard Adam Webster 35'
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 44'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 45'+2'
  • redcard Tariq Lamptey 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 92'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 114'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Newcastle
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Dan Burn 10' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hall 37' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 35'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 71'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Newcastle
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
Brighton
  • Sean Longstaff 45'+5' goal
  • Lewis Hall 79' yellowcard
  • Harvey Barnes 88' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Veltman 18'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Julio Enciso 54'
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 77'
  • yellowcard Benicio Baker-Boatiey 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Brighton
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Newcastle
  • Evan Ferguson 27' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 65' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 70' goal
  • Tariq Lamptey 83' yellowcard
  • James Milner 86' yellowcard
  • Mahmoud Dahoud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 68'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 76'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+2'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Sunderland
Barcelona 7 - 2 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Spurs 2 - 2 Brighton
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Liverpool
Sunderland 0 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal

Build-up

News
Head to head
Predicted Lineups