Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 12.30pm
Man Utd 3 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 30.79% and a draw has a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 0-1 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.94%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 41.75%
Draw 27.46% (+0.04)
Manchester United 30.79% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.21% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.34% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.66% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.49%
Under 2.5 53.51% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.36% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.15% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.85% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.55% (-0.02)
Draw 40.08% (+0.02)
Manchester United 26.38%

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 47.76% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.45% (+0.04)
Manchester United 42.79% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.85% (+0.28)
Equal 8 11.43% (-0.05)
Under 8 26.72% (-0.24)
Over 9 49.82% (+0.29)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.15% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 38.27% (+0.28)
Under 10.5 61.73% (-0.28)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.45% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.55% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.73% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.27% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.24% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.76% (-0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 63.44% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.56% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 30.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.58% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.47%
Under 3.5 96.53%

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 41.75%
Draw 27.46%
Manchester United 30.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.45% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 41.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.45% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 27.46%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.3% (-0.02)
Total : 30.79%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 11, 2026 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Shea Lacey 62' yellowcard
  • Joshua Zirkzee 62' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 79' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 85' goal
  • goal Brajan Gruda 12'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 64'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 77'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 77'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 78'
  • yellowcard Charalampos Kostoulas 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Watson 90'+2'
Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 23' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 61' yellowcard
  • Harry Maguire 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Yankuba Minteh 5'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 21'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 43'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 60'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 76'
  • yellowcard Solly March 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Danny Welbeck 32' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 89' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 90'+5' goal
  • goal Amad Diallo 60'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 78'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Billy Gilmour 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 22'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 45'+1'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 73'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 88'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Hannibal Mejbri 73' goal
  • Hannibal Mejbri 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • yellowcard Tariq Lamptey 4'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 20'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 24'
  • goal Pascal Gross 53'
  • goal Joao Pedro 71'

Build-up

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