Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.