Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.