Premier League Gameweek 37
Man Utd
May 17, 2026 12.30pm
Old Trafford
Nott'm Forest

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
Sunderland 0 - 0 Man Utd
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 23.37% and a draw has a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 1-2 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Manchester United 53.66% ▲ (+0.64)
Draw 22.97% ▼ (-0.09)
Nottingham Forest 23.37% ▼ (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.98% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 18.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 60.5% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 39.5% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 38.17% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 61.83% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 4.5 23.59% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 76.41% ▼ (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 42.83% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 37.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Nottingham Forest 20.1% ▼ (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 60.1% ▲ (+0.36)
No Goal 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Nottingham Forest 35.25% ▼ (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 65.52% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 23.84% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 53.96% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 34.48% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 10.5 42.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 57.51% ▼ (-0.18)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 55.44% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 44.56% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 2.5 29.26% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 70.74% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 12.81% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 87.19% ▼ (-0.33)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 61.64% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 38.36% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 1.5 30.1% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 69.9% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 10.92% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 89.08% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.73% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Manchester United 53.66%
Draw 22.97%
Nottingham Forest 23.36%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 10.07% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.97%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
Premier League Gameweek 30
Nott'm Forest
Apr 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
Man Utd
  • Anthony Elanga 5' goal
  • Neco Williams 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Casemiro 50'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 66'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 78'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Man Utd
Dec 7, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Old Trafford
Nott'm Forest
  • Rasmus Hojlund 18' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 61' goal
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 2'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 31'
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 47'
  • goal Chris Wood 54'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 90'+4'
FA Cup
Nott'm Forest
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Man Utd
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 77'
  • goal Casemiro 89'
Premier League Gameweek 20
Nott'm Forest
Dec 30, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The City Ground
Man Utd
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 56' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Dominguez 64' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 82' goal
  • Orel Mangala 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 58'
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 59'
  • goal Marcus Rashford 78'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 85'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Man Utd
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Old Trafford
Nott'm Forest
  • Christian Eriksen 17' goal
  • Casemiro 52' goal
  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka 58' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 76' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 82' yellowcard
  • Andre Onana 89' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fernandes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 2'
  • goal Willy Boly 4'
  • yellowcard Serge Aurier 44'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 62'
  • redcard Joe Worrall 67'
  • yellowcard Cheikhou Kouyate 90'+6'

Form Data

Sunderland 0 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 3 - 2 Liverpool
Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Chelsea 0 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 2 Leeds
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Sunderland 0 - 5 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 4 - 1 Burnley

Build-up

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