Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.