Premier League Gameweek 36
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
The City Ground

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 29.83% and a draw has a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).

Result

Nottingham Forest 45.05% (+0.03)
Draw 25.12% (-0.03)
Newcastle United 29.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.04% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.05% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.72% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.24% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 18.85% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.15% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nottingham Forest 35.57%
Draw 40.84%
Newcastle United 23.59%

Team To Score First

Nottingham Forest 56.29% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.94% (-0.01)
Newcastle United 37.77%

Corners

Over 8 63.03%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 25.73%
Over 9 51.04%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 36.97%
Over 10.5 39.41%
Under 10.5 60.59%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 1.5 45.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.97% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 79.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 66.02% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 33.98% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.73% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.29% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.71% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.25%
Under 3.5 95.75%

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 45.05%
Draw 25.12%
Newcastle United 29.82%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 7.71% (+0.02)
Total : 45.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 25.12%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 5, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 23, 2025 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 4 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Lewis Miley 23' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 25' goal
  • Alexander Isak 33' goal
  • Alexander Isak 34' goal
  • Tino Livramento 55' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Hudson-Odoi 6'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 52'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 74'
  • goal Ryan Yates 90'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground
  • Murillo 21' goal
  • Ryan Yates 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 7'
  • goal Alexander Isak 54'
  • goal Joelinton 72'
  • goal Harvey Barnes 83'
EFL Cup
Aug 28, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • Jota Silva 50' goal
  • Jota Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Zach Abbott 54' yellowcard
  • Alex Moreno 72' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Dominguez 77' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Willock 1'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 53'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hall 67'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT The City Ground
  • Anthony Elanga 26' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 45'+6' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 59' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 10'
  • goal Fabian Schar 43'
  • yellowcard Sven Botman 58'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 66'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 23' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 27' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 85' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 26'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 27'
  • goal Chris Wood 45'+1'
  • goal Chris Wood 53'
  • goal Chris Wood 60'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 84'