Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2026 8.00pm
Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
João Pedro

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jack Hinshelwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Chelsea 39.82% (-0.04)
Draw 23.5% (+0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion 36.68% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.51% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 19.77% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 58.51% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 41.49% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 35.84% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 64.16% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 21.31% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.69% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 35.2% (-0.09)
Draw 38.86% (+0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion 25.94% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 53.53% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.09% (+0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion 41.38% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.14% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 28.84% (-0.02)
Over 9 48.71% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 39.86% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 37.82% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.18% (-0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 42.97% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 57.03% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.6% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.16% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.84% (+0.03)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 71.5% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.5% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.74% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.26% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 17.8% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 82.2% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.32% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.68% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Chelsea 39.82%
Draw 23.51%
Brighton & Hove Albion 36.67%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01%
Other @ 7.04% (-0.04)
Total : 39.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 23.51%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-1 @ 7.03% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 6.2% (-0.09)
Total : 36.67%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Ferdi Kadıoğlu 3' goal
  • Joël Veltman 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 56' goal
  • Maxim De Cuyper 77' yellowcard
  • Yasin Ayari 82' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 83' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+1' goal
  • Matt O'Riley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 46'
  • yellowcard Marc Guiu 72'
  • yellowcard Dário Essugo 73'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 90'+2'
Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Kaoru Mitoma 27' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 38' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 63' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 42'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 64'
FA Cup
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Georginio Rutter 12' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 20' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 27' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 57' goal
  • goal Bart Verbruggen 5' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 14'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 68'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 21' goal
  • Cole Palmer 28' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 31' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 33' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 41' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 78' yellowcard
  • goal Georginio Rutter 7'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 27'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 29'
  • goal Carlos Balepa 34'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Lewis Dunk 29' yellowcard
  • Bart Verbruggen 81' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+7' goal
  • goal Cole Palmer 34'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 64'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 77'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 79'
  • redcard Reece James 88'