Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park

Newcastle U21s
7 - 1
Reading U21s

Kuol (12', 82'), Harrison (38'), Shahar (54'), Turner-Cook (66' pen.), Emerson (79'), Brayson (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tuma (50')
Harrison (19'), Borgnis (25'), Senga (87')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Reading Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Forest U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Monday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Reading Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves U21s 1-0 Reading U21s
Friday, March 14 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 3-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawReading Under-21s
47.25% (0.012 0.01)20.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 73.68% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.49% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)24.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.72% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)44.27% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)11.41% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)36.18% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Reading Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)16.83% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18% (-0.055 -0.05)46.81% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 47.25%
    Reading Under-21s 32.26%
    Draw 20.49%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawReading Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 7pm
Reading U21s
1-0
Newcastle U21s
Wareham (40')
Senga (15'), Abretti (57'), Wareham (90+7')
Senga (60')

Diallo (90+4')