Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 3-1 (5.42%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.