Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.