Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 54.88%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.41%) and 2-3 (5.85%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s
26.68% ( 0.23)	18.43% ( 0.02)	54.88% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 77.66% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.82% (

0.1)

18.18% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.55% (

0.14)

35.45% (

-0.14)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.18)

16.14% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.32)

45.57% (

-0.31)

Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.6% (

-0.01)

7.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.35% (

-0.04)

26.65% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 26.68%

Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s 54.88%

Draw 18.43%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 26.68%	2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.43%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 5.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.5% Total : 54.88%