Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.75%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
34.43% ( 0.11)	22.27% ( 0.03)	43.29% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 67.58% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.3% (

-0.13)

32.69% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.63% (

-0.15)

54.37% (

0.14)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

-0.01)

19.67% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-0.01)

51.66% (

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

-0.11)

15.86% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

-0.19)

45.06% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 34.43%

Manchester City Under-21s 43.29%

Draw 22.27%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.43%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 43.29%