Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.75%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.