Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.6%) and 0-2 (4.91%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.