Premier League 2 - Div 1
Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Newcastle United Football Academy

Newcastle U21s
4 - 1
Stoke U21s

Brayson (6', 76'), Harrison (58', 80')
Harrison (24'), Turner-Cook (56'), Kuol (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Curley (17')
Gymiah (12'), Vidigal (24'), Dixon (36')
Dixon (40')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Newcastle U21s
Friday, February 21 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 0-1 Liverpool U21s
Friday, February 21 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.84%) and 3-2 (5%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
47.15% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.9% (0.009999999999998 0.01)31.94% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 71.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.28% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.71% (0.087 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.88% (-0.111 -0.11)47.12% (0.111 0.11)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)12.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.02% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)18.05% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (-0.141 -0.14)48.96% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 47.15%
    Stoke City Under-21s 31.94%
    Draw 20.9%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 5% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 7.95% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 7.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 2.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 31.94%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Stoke U21s
1-2
Newcastle U21s
Griffiths (28')
Mears (37'), Stanton (43')
Simkim (45'), Dixon (68')
Stephenson (10'), Crossley (11')
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
Stoke U21s
2-2
Newcastle U21s
McGuinness (34'), Holland-Wilkinson (39')
Wiggett (9'), Parkinson (90+3')
Aug 15, 2022 7pm
Newcastle U21s
0-1
Stoke U21s

Turner-Cook (40'), Ndiweni (44'), Bondswell (66')
Ndiweni (50'), Bondswell (71')
Kershaw (6')
Malone (90+1')