Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 60.86%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.29%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crystal Palace Under-21s in this match.