Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.43%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 15.39% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 4-1 (5.77%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
69.43% ( -0.31)	15.18% ( 0.14)	15.39% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 72.23% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.88% (

-0.3)

18.12% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.64% (

-0.44)

35.36% (

0.45)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.06% (

-0.11)

4.94% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.19% (

-0.35)

19.81% (

0.35)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

-0.05)

24.02% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.72% (

-0.07)

58.28% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 69.43%

Stoke City Under-21s 15.39%

Draw 15.18%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
3-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 6-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.66% Total : 69.43%	2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 15.18%	1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 15.39%