Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 57.1%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
57.1% ( -0.3)	19.63% ( 0.14)	23.27% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 68.78% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.37% (

-0.5)

27.63% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.72% (

-0.64)

48.28% (

0.64)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

-0.23)

9.88% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.24% (

-0.53)

32.76% (

0.53)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.18)

23.68% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.26)

57.79% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 57.1%

Stoke City Under-21s 23.27%

Draw 19.63%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.95% Total : 57.1%	1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.63%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.27%