Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 57.1%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.