Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 3-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.