Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 3-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
53.94% ( 3.32)	19.33% ( -0.43)	26.73% ( -2.89)

Both teams to score 74.09% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.49% (

-0.11)

22.51% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.41% (

-0.15)

41.59% (

0.15)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91% (

0.75)

9% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.32% (

1.78)

30.68% (

-1.78)

Reading Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

-1.57)

18.58% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.15% (

-2.71)

49.85% (

2.71)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 53.94%

Reading Under-21s 26.73%

Draw 19.33%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.4) 4-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.23) 4-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.18) Other @ 4.87% Total : 53.94%	2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.33%	1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.21) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.19% Total : 26.73%