Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Under-21s in this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
49.46% ( 2.49)	20.62% ( -0.16)	29.92% ( -2.33)

Both teams to score 71.74% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.55% (

-0.52)

26.45% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.21% (

-0.67)

46.79% (

0.67)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

0.53)

11.49% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.65% (

1.13)

36.35% (

-1.13)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

-1.43)

18.95% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

-2.42)

50.47% (

2.42)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 49.46%

Middlesbrough Under-21s 29.92%

Draw 20.62%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.22) 4-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.46%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.21) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.92%