Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.37%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.